Evidence #001

Germany's lowest district GDP-per-capita values are in the West, not the East

🇩🇪 Germany·July 2026·Eurostat nama_10r_3gdp, 2023·independently verified

1 Observation

In 2023, the four German districts (Kreise) with the lowest GDP per capita are all in the western state of Rhineland-Palatinate. Of the twenty lowest values nationwide, fifteen are in western states. Thirty-five years of "poor East, rich West" intuition does not survive contact with the bottom of this particular table.

2 Evidence

Across the 394 German NUTS-3 districts with 2023 GDP data (Eurostat, nominal € per inhabitant):

#DistrictNUTS-3State (part)GDP per capita 2023
1SüdwestpfalzDEB3KRhineland-Palatinate (West)€20,800
2KuselDEB3GRhineland-Palatinate (West)€22,700
3Rhein-Pfalz-KreisDEB3IRhineland-Palatinate (West)€23,700
4Trier-SaarburgDEB25Rhineland-Palatinate (West)€24,800
5Havelland — lowest eastern districtDE408Brandenburg (East)€25,700

Context values from the same table: median across the 69 eastern districts (excl. Berlin) — €34,600; median across the 324 western districts (excl. Berlin) — €43,500; Berlin — €54,700. The east-west gap in the middles of the distributions is real and visible. The extremes are a different story: the bottom of the German table is western.

3 Verification

  1. Against the original source. Open Eurostat dataset nama_10r_3gdp (GDP at current market prices by NUTS-3 region), unit EUR_HAB (euro per inhabitant), year 2023, filter German regions (codes starting DE), sort ascending. The five rows above appear in this order.
  2. Against our warehouse. The same numbers sit in our open comparison layer: -- 394 rows; bottom of the table SELECT n.name, n.nuts_code, f.value FROM fact_eu_observation f JOIN dim_eu_metric m ON m.id = f.metric_id JOIN dim_eu_nuts3 n ON n.id = f.nuts3_id WHERE n.country = 'DE' AND m.code = 'gdp_pc' AND f.year = 2023 ORDER BY f.value ASC; East/west split: eastern = states of Brandenburg, Mecklenburg-Vorpommern, Saxony, Saxony-Anhalt, Thuringia (NUTS-1 codes DE4, DE8, DED, DEE, DEG), Berlin excluded from both medians.
  3. On the map. Open the live map, Germany, GDP-per-capita layer — the darkest low-value patch is in the southwest, not the east.

This observation was additionally re-derived by an independent verification pass before publication: all numbers matched exactly.

4 Official sources

Eurostat, nama_10r_3gdp — Gross domestic product (GDP) at current market prices by NUTS-3 region, euro per inhabitant, 2023 vintage. Reused under the European Commission's reuse policy (attribution). Our per-metric provenance: sky-mind.com/provenance.

5 What the data cannot tell us

Series note. Every Evidence issue follows the same protocol — Observation → Evidence → Verification → Official Sources → What the data cannot tell us — and is published only after every number has been independently re-derived. If we discover an error, we correct it publicly and keep the history. Descriptive comparison within a country, never a forecast. Methodology · All issues
How to cite.

SkyMind (2026). Germany's lowest GDP districts are in the West (SkyMind Evidence No. 001). SkyMind Regional Reference Database. https://sky-mind.com/evidence/001

@techreport{skymind_evidence_001,
  author      = {{SkyMind}},
  title       = {Germany's lowest GDP districts are in the West},
  institution = {SkyMind},
  type        = {SkyMind Evidence},
  number      = {001},
  year        = {2026},
  url         = {https://sky-mind.com/evidence/001}
}
Published 2026-07-02 · every number re-derived from official sources before publication · full lineage: provenance · revision log · dispute a number · data: SkyMind Regional Reference Database, doi:10.5281/zenodo.21388012